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2024-12-14 01:59:13
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Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!If it is only in the direction, don't touch those that have risen recently. Be careful of the strong stocks to make up for the decline. It is the last word to lurk around the direction of good fundamentals and stagflation!Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 2,890, while the number of individual stocks fell by 2,280. Today, although the index opened higher and went lower, it collapsed, but individual stocks still rose more and fell less. Looking at the time-sharing handicap, today's opening is the climax, and the opening at 3490 is only 10 points away from the opening at 3500, which is another day in great escape.


Emotionally, there are 112 stocks with daily limit, 3 stocks with daily limit and 38 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the daily limit of 100 shares continues, and the atmosphere of the market is still good, but two more median tickets have joined the nuclear button club. At present, the risk of ebb tide of the echelon is still there, and the relay friends still need to be cautious.As for blue chips and white horses, because of today's high opening and low walking rhythm, they need to be repaired next. If they can't be quickly reversed, they will need to be shaken and consolidated for a few days. The style switch that should have been completed in November continued until December, and it was still a chaotic rhythm. Lao Liu judged that the aesthetics based on fundamentals, changing hands and trends would once again prevail.For the next trend, Lao Liu also suggested in the long article of the Morning Post that if the closing price is below 3489.78 points, there is a high probability that the small yin and the small yang will fluctuate alternately. Then, after this wave of dishwashing knocks off the expectations of retail investors, it is estimated that it is the beginning of a new wave. In a word, in the short term, shock consolidation is still the second wave attack of winning three waves in the long term.


Reason 3: the technical upward trend will not change, and it will continue to hit a new high after shock consolidation. Yesterday, Lao Liu suggested that it is necessary to do high-throwing and low-sucking treatment if it is too high and high-opening. The key is that the closing price cannot be higher than 3489.78 points. Now, to be honest, everything is just right. At present, the market is still standing above the 5-day line, and there is no structural pressure above it, which is also the technical basis for my small high point.It's just that what Liu wants to say is that today, although the high opening and low walking have closed a big yinxian line, it is not the same as the situation on October 8. Here, the main force is still inclined to wash dishes, rather than the beginning of a new round of decline. So remind everyone that short-term stepping back here is still an opportunity, not a risk. The support around 3400 points is very strong. Don't panic!Reason 3: the technical upward trend will not change, and it will continue to hit a new high after shock consolidation. Yesterday, Lao Liu suggested that it is necessary to do high-throwing and low-sucking treatment if it is too high and high-opening. The key is that the closing price cannot be higher than 3489.78 points. Now, to be honest, everything is just right. At present, the market is still standing above the 5-day line, and there is no structural pressure above it, which is also the technical basis for my small high point.

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